How to know the Market value of a company?
Is there anyone know about this? Please share, thank you.
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- Pascal Ho Ba Dam1331640220
This is not an easy one as all fund managers on earth are looking for the answer and very few get it right all the time. Just look at the performances of all Vinacapital, Mekong Capital, Dragon in the past 3-years lost money... they did not get the right market value.
There are 3 main reasons for that (and for why it is the most difficult in business is to become a skilled investor):
#1 Market value and Intrinsic value. You can evaluate -almost calculate and intrinsic value of a company- based on what it really can return to your 100$ investment. But when the little investor jump in the stock market with a "crazy fever to buy", the Market price jump for no reason with no logical reason. This is called a bubble when the Market price goes much, much higher than the intrinsic value -read Warren Buffett letters about this).#2 technically there are 4 ways to calculate the Intrinsic value:
1) Economic profit approaches (Residual Income, EVA)
2) Discount models (DCF)
3) Multiple-based models (EV/sales, EV/EBIT, EV/EBITA, EV/EBITDA)
4) Peer-group comparisons
you can read any book to get this right but you also need to consider some economic data and make optimistic/pessimistic assumptions to get and idea (then come the crazy buyers or sellers who create the Market value)#3 Leadership & Management, is the most difficult that fund managers miss out most of the time because it is human being making decisions on the future that they don't know (leaders are not "thay boi"). Leaders sometimes make wrong choices -myspace Vs facebook, Nokia Vs Iphone, Bac Tuyet Vs Phong Phu textile? Sometimes they mis-manage REE invested their cash in the stock market and lost millions, Vinashin started many companies and lost it all...
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As far as I am concerned and learnt, to assess the value of a company, we usually base on 2 basic factors:
First, it's the Company's financial position which can be found in the set of financial staterments, esp. the balance sheet at the end of the fiscal year. This financial statement shows the total assets-tangible and intangible, liabilities and owner's equity. However, the numbers on this statement somehow do not reflect exactly the market value due to the descrepancies between the book value of assets at the time of purchase/record and the market value at presence.
Second- a more useful and exact way to estimate market value of a company is to base on its stock price for which shares of the company are selling in a stock market. In fact, a very accurate measure is to simply find the price of a share of stock and the number of shares outstanding. This value takes into account more than just the book values of a firm; it includes market, economic, and currency conditions, thus present a closer and clearer picture of the financial situation and the martket value of that company.
Hope it helpful:)
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